B · Normal
[JPMorgan Chase: Under the long-term blockade scenario of the Strait of Hormuz, Brent oil may average US$87 per barrel next year] On September 9, a team of JP Morgan analysts led by Natasha Kaneva, director of commodity research, said in a research report: Even if a "permanent conflict" scenario occurs and the Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed, the average price of Brent crude oil futures next year may still reach US$87 per barrel. JPMorgan Chase's baseline scenario predicts that the average price of Brent crude oil next year will be US$63 per barrel. This scenario assumes that "the world will maintain a peaceful state in 2027." "Conflicts may last much longer than" the default in the baseline scenario. "But that doesn't mean oil prices need to go significantly higher from here."
Global market intelligence 🕐 2026-09-09 20:01

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