Abstract:
The Japan Meteorological Agency stated that the El Niño phenomenon that is disrupting the climate in South America and Asia has intensified to the strongest level in history, which may cause large-scale economic disruptions and related effects will continue for a long time after the climate event subsides.
The Japan Meteorological Agency issued a bulletin on Friday stating that as of September, the sea surface temperature in some areas of the tropical Pacific it monitored was 4 degrees Celsius higher than normal, the highest since records began in 1949. The previous record was set in December 1997, when sea temperatures were 3.7 degrees Celsius higher than normal.
El Niño has disrupted global weather patterns. The climate event caused the Indian monsoon to be the weakest in more than a decade, intensified wildfires in Indonesia, spread toxic smoke to neighboring Singapore and Malaysia, and threatened Brazil's sugar and coffee production.
Read more: This year’s El Niño could be the strongest on record
Just one day before the Japan Meteorological Agency released its outlook, the World Meteorological Organization stated in its latest seasonal forecast that this El Niño is expected to be the strongest in history. The World Meteorological Organization's forecast is based on the Niño 3.4 area, which overlaps with the Niño 3 area monitored by Japan, but is located farther west.
The Japan Meteorological Agency predicts that the probability of El Niño continuing into the northern hemisphere winter is 100%, which is consistent with the judgment of the U.S. Climate Prediction Center: this phenomenon that disrupts the climate will definitely continue from January to March.
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