B[Agency predicts that the revenue of A-share semiconductor companies in 2026 is expected to exceed 1 trillion yuan] October 9th, the global semiconductor boom continues to heat up, and domestic industry chain orders are intensively released. Shengmei Shanghai recently disclosed that its total orders on hand reached 17.073 billion yuan, and a number of A-share semiconductor companies also announced their order status. The intensive implementation of orders and progress in industrial cooperation have a significant positive effect on the performance of relevant listed companies. The high prosperity of the semiconductor industry is self-evident. Judging from the market size of the A-share semiconductor industry, the total revenue of 188 semiconductor companies in 2025 will exceed 780 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.81%. According to consensus forecasts by institutions, the total revenue of semiconductor industry companies is expected to exceed the 1 trillion yuan mark in 2026. According to statistics, among the above-mentioned 188 semiconductor companies, institutions have made forecasts for the performance of 146 companies. The institutions unanimously predict that the total revenue of the above-mentioned 146 semiconductor companies will reach 1.24 trillion yuan in 2026. Based on comparable statistics, the year-on-year growth is expected to exceed 70%, reaching a phased peak. (Securities Times) B[Changguang Huaxin: Morgan Stanley related reports informal regulations domestic 800G/1.6T optical chips are still in extreme short supply in the short term] "Science and Technology Innovation Board Daily" reported on the 8th, regarding the "FCC 65%" related clauses mentioned in Morgan Stanley's report, and the impact that the company's stock price may have today, a person from Changguang Huaxin Securities Department told the "Science and Technology Innovation Board Daily" reporter that the report is a policy scenario deduction report, not an officially implemented regulation or clause, but just "one family's words." Secondly, the optical module and its materials involved in the report are 3.2T, but the domestic 3.2T industry is currently in its infancy, and it is not expected to be large-scale until 2028-2029. The main products shipped this year and next are still 800G/1.6T. Products with these two speeds are still in extremely short supply, and domestic optical chips will still grow rapidly in the short term.
He believes that the global AI industry chain is deeply interactive. Even if the global geopolitical game will have an impact, industries are not "decoupled if they want to". Finally, he said that domestic manufacturers will also make arrangements for relevant situations in advance, such as building factories overseas. (Kechuangban Daily reporter Huang Xiumei) B[Bank of America reiterates ASML's "buy" rating and preferred stock status, with target price raised to US$2,915] On October 8, Bank of America Securities issued a research report stating that ASML's management disclosed in the second quarter results conference call that it will adopt a higher value pricing strategy. According to estimates, every 5% increase in product average selling price can drive earnings per share to increase by approximately 8%, while input costs will increase simultaneously by approximately 2.5%; if product selling prices increase by 5% while costs remain unchanged, the incremental contribution to earnings can reach approximately 10%. Based on conservative assumptions, the bank predicts that the average selling price of ASML products will increase by approximately 5% in 2028, while costs are expected to increase by approximately 2.5%. It raises its 2028 revenue and earnings per share forecasts by 8.7% and 13%, respectively, to 76.57 billion euros and 8.52 billion euros. Euro, related adjustments mainly reflect an increase in pricing of DUV, EUV and IBM products by approximately 5%, an increase in EUV shipments from 110 units to 120 units, and an increase in dry machine shipments from 190 units to 210 units, partially offset by an increase in input costs. The bank reiterated its "buy" rating and preferred stock status for ASML. The target price was raised from 2,452 euros to 2,557 euros, and the ADR target price was accordingly raised to $2,915. B[China Chengtong Chairman Xi Zhengping met with China Electronics Chairman Li Ligong] On October 8, Xi Zhengping, Secretary of the Party Committee and Chairman of China Chengtong, met with Li Ligong, Secretary of the Party Committee and Chairman of China Electronics, and his party at the group headquarters. The two sides had in-depth exchanges on further deepening cooperation. Xi Zhengping said that China Chengtong is willing to give full play to the functions of state-owned capital operating companies, further deepen all-round strategic cooperation with China Electronics, continue to strengthen collaboration in fund investment, financial services, technological innovation and other fields, strengthen industrial collaboration and regional collaboration, and demonstrate the responsibility of central enterprises with new landmark results. Li Ligong said that he expected both parties to give full play to their respective advantages, be guided by national strategic needs, further strengthen cooperation in integrated circuits, advanced computing, network information industries, etc., accelerate the implementation of key projects, and jointly contribute more to the country's high-level scientific and technological self-reliance. B[Musk rules out the possibility of TSMC participating in the operation of Terafab] On October 7, Musk stated that his companies will independently build and operate Terafab, ruling out the possibility of TSMC, the leader in the chip manufacturing industry, taking over the operation of this chip manufacturing project. The Terafab project, located in Texas, is Musk's plan to enter the chip manufacturing business and is designed to meet the needs of his companies Tesla and SpaceXAI. Musk has recently said that he is negotiating with TSMC, but the billionaire billionaire posted a message on the X platform on Wednesday to clarify that the only thing the two parties are currently considering is that TSMC may rent part of the planned factory, and it does not involve any operational role. "If TSMC wants to, it may be able to sublease part of Terafab, but that's it," Musk said in response to a video on his social platform.
— All loaded —