A[Micron Technology’s stock price fell 1% during the pre-market trading session. The higher-than-expected quarterly results and guidance for the next quarter still failed to satisfy the market] On October 1, Micron Technology’s stock price fell 1% during the pre-market trading session to US$1,053 per share, after the company released quarterly results. After the market close on Wednesday Eastern Time, Micron Technology announced its fourth quarter fiscal 2026 and full-year financial results for fiscal 2026. Micron benefited from strong demand for AI data centers and rising storage prices. Its fourth-quarter revenue and gross profit margin were both higher than market expectations, and its revenue guidance for the next fiscal quarter was also higher than analysts' expectations.
Micron Technology’s fourth-quarter revenue was US$54.23 billion, higher than analysts’ expectations of US$51.49 billion; its revenue guidance for the next fiscal quarter was approximately US$61.5 billion, higher than analysts’ expectations of US$56.8 billion. The core data center business revenue was US$18.0 billion, a month-on-month increase of approximately 56%, a year-on-year increase of approximately 1,042%, and a gross profit margin of 90%. It is the business unit with the highest revenue, accounting for approximately one-third of total revenue. B[On the eve of Micron’s earnings report, super bulls reiterated a $2,000 target price] September 29th, on the eve of Micron Technology’s earnings report on Wednesday, a super bull of the memory chip giant reiterated a $2,000 target price for the stock, which is close to the highest level on Wall Street. The target price given by D.A. Davidson analyst Gil Luria is about 100% higher than Micron Technology's latest closing price. Luria pointed out that memory is the key to running large AI models. The larger the memory capacity, the better the model, the faster the reasoning, and the longer the context window. Market participants across the board have repeatedly said that demand is still skyrocketing and that it will take at least a year for new supply to catch up. The current valuation multiples given by the market have ended the pricing storage cycle, but the demand for AI computing power continues to grow. B[Memory chip concept is active, Spacetime Technology is hitting the daily limit] On September 22, the memory chip concept is active, Spacetime Technology is hitting the daily limit, and Hengshuo Shares, Demingli, Changxin Technology, and Junzheng Shares are following suit. In terms of news, Changxin Technology officially announced at the World Manufacturing Conference that the fifth-generation DRAM process platform (G5) has achieved mass production, and simultaneously exhibited the 24Gb large-capacity LPDDR5X product developed based on this platform, officially entering the commercial verification stage for downstream customers. B[JPMorgan Chase: Samsung Electronics’ third-quarter preview memory business remains strong and maintains an “overweight” rating] On September 21, JPMorgan Chase issued a research report stating that Samsung Electronics’ third-quarter performance preview showed that the memory business operations remained strong, but were affected by currency headwinds in the short term. The bank maintains an "overweight" rating and a target price of 400,000 won. It believes that the medium-term risk return is favorable and recommends investors to absorb it. The bank raised its HBM business assumptions, expecting Samsung Electronics' HBM value market share to increase from 20% in 2025 to 34% and 39% in 2026 and 2027, and predicted that the HBM mixed average selling price in fiscal 2027 will increase by 64% year-on-year. Affected by the strength of the Korean won, the bank lowered its adjusted earnings per share forecast for 2026 and 2027 by 4% and 4.6%, respectively, to 48,788 won and 68,995 won respectively. Taking into account foreign exchange changes, the bank lowered its operating profit forecast for the third and fourth quarter of this year from 7 trillion to 9 trillion won to 102 trillion to 109 trillion won, which is lower than market forecasts of 109 trillion to 121 trillion won. It also slightly lowered its earnings per share forecast for the next two years, reflecting the strengthening of the Korean won. The forecast in US dollars was raised due to the increase in HBM's business volume, pricing and profit margin forecasts. The bank believes positive shareholder returns are necessary for a smooth recovery in the stock price, and views the mid-term update on the third-quarter earnings conference call as the next key point of observation.
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