For years, many companies have been working to realize the long-dreamed promise of flying cars. Significant challenges remain, but the pace of development in the field has accelerated significantly throughout 2023. Multiple proposals outline flying taxi services that could appear in major cities over the next two years. Recent milestones could put the nascent industry on track to launch flying taxi services in 2024 and 2025.
Cost and safety concerns remain, but regulators are growing enthusiastic about a technology that could save passengers significant time on their commutes.
If Volocopter plans to provide service in Paris for the 2024 Summer Olympics, it could be one of the first flying taxi companies to launch service. The company is designing multiple routes between Versailles and airports around Paris.
Since Volocopter's program was approved, it has successfully flown electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) vehicles in Florida, New York City and Osaka. These tests proved that flying taxis can operate in metropolitan and international airports. Another flying taxi company, JobyAviation, recently completed an air traffic control simulation with NASA and has begun plans to build specialized landing pads across Japan.
Joby plans to launch an air taxi service in New York City by 2025, and Archer Aviation is partnering with United Airlines to offer flying taxis in Chicago around the same time. However, China may currently be in the lead when it comes to flying taxis. The Chinese government recently approved EHang to provide trial services in Xinjiang and Shenzhen. Meanwhile, the FAA has drafted recommendations to enable short-range electronic flights by 2028.
Despite these advances, significant barriers to widespread adoption remain. The most obvious issue may be cost. Employing new technology to fly above traffic is inherently expensive, but Joby and Archer hope flying taxis will eventually become as cheap as Uber. Another issue is safety, as the extra weight of eVTOL batteries complicates flight.
Additionally, the VTOL design they chose has historically been problematic. Since the U.S. military began deploying V-22 Osprey VTOL aircraft in 2007, 10 have malfunctioned, resulting in 24 deaths. Most recently, the military grounded its $32 billion Osprey fleet after a fatal crash off the coast of Japan.
These problems caused competitors such as KittyHawk and Uber to exit the market. Time will tell whether Joby, EHang, Volocopter, and Archer can persevere and finally provide affordable air taxi services.