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[HSBC’s new AI model shows that U.S. Treasury yields are expected to fall in the next month] On September 22, a new machine learning model called Dustin (Directional Us Treasury Indicator) developed by HSBC showed that the signal for U.S. Treasury yields to fall in the next month is relatively clear. HSBC analysts including Thomas Devlin wrote in a report: "The recent sell-off at the front end of the yield curve (3-month and 2-year), coupled with unexpected changes in economic activity data, is pushing Dustin to be more confident that interest rates will move lower in the coming month." Dustin predicts that the probability of a rise in the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yield in one month is 28%.
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